Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.028390 0.031102 0.033782 0.036623 0.039546 0.042459 0.045577
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.022938 0.027305 0.031736 0.036543 0.041586 0.046700 0.052259
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.019486 0.024971 0.030664 0.036949 0.043640 0.050507 0.058046
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.016015 0.022217 0.028806 0.036205 0.044187 0.052463 0.061626
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.013610 0.020384 0.027737 0.036116 0.045252 0.054802 0.065444
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011406 0.018582 0.026550 0.035762 0.045908 0.056592 0.068565
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009390 0.016831 0.025297 0.035227 0.046273 0.057984 0.071177
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.007140 0.014608 0.023379 0.033848 0.045624 0.058204 0.072457
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.006384 0.014168 0.023482 0.034704 0.047402 0.061019 0.076490
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005311 0.013223 0.022930 0.034766 0.048254 0.062787 0.079352
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003937 0.011731 0.021646 0.033928 0.048052 0.063360 0.080879
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003147 0.010965 0.021200 0.034029 0.048877 0.065033 0.083575
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002069 0.009711 0.020221 0.033630 0.049299 0.066445 0.086201
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001189 0.008583 0.019376 0.033407 0.049955 0.068165 0.089224
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000657 0.007889 0.019049 0.033775 0.051269 0.070599 0.093014
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.006629 0.017869 0.033050 0.051279 0.071541 0.095128
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005819 0.017240 0.032963 0.051997 0.073248 0.098059
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004943 0.016440 0.032620 0.052384 0.074557 0.100520
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004058 0.015536 0.032103 0.052535 0.075571 0.102630
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002896 0.014045 0.030769 0.051676 0.075408 0.103400
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002749 0.014220 0.031597 0.053389 0.078165 0.107416
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002307 0.013830 0.031657 0.054163 0.079833 0.110198
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001594 0.012817 0.030846 0.053861 0.080248 0.111558